THE water temperature is falling and the early south swells have begun.
Mid-week, a solid south hit below the border. Not so much up here, though.
There's a string of lows halfway to Africa right now and though we may not get any of it, Tavarua will.
Tomorrow: Morning surfers will find small waves in the 1/2 to 1m range and slight, cool, offshores from the SW.
By mid-morning, those winds will tend even more westerly and by the afternoon, they'll be hitting 25 knots. That's a strong offshore wind and if the swell can hold its size in the face of that much offshore, it will be amazing on the open beaches. If not, flat.
Gold Coasters will be the same, except afternoon winds will tend more NW.
Head for the protected corners.
Sunday: Lighter winds early Sunday will make the beaches clean and fun, if it hasn't gone flat from tomorrow's westerlies.
Our SW winds will ease through the morning and are predicted to be very light in the afternoon.
If, through some miracle, there's still surf around, the open beaches will be fun all day.
If not, barbecue time.
Down the Goldy, the winds will be pale westerly all day - great if there's any waves on those open beaches.
Tweed Heads to Coffs Harbour, tomorrow: Fresh SW winds are the call for early morning in northern NSW, up to 20 knots.
There should be some surf, though - maybe a metre or more. So many places will be good.
Before noon, the winds will swing W to NW and that will limit surfing to the open beaches with protection.
Much further down the coast, a mix of NW and SW winds translates to mainly west and that will be good for surfing on the beaches.
Afternoon winds will tend straight westerly and get up to 30 knots. That's the marine forecast today and that's a lot of offshore wind.
If the swell holds, some places will have wide, open barrels. Take two extra paddles or you'll get pitched.
Sunday: Weak westerlies bode well for surfing in the Byron Shire. Essentially, that's dead offshore at all the open beaches.
If the swell has survived tomorrow's winds, expect a metre or so of outstanding beach breaks all day.
In the Coffs region, light westerlies in the 10-15 knot range are predicted, and if there's swell, (and I think there'll be a metre or so), it'll be great everywhere.
Disclaimer: This forecast is prepared the previous Thursday in order to satisfy newspaper production requirements. As conditions may change, it is always recommended that you take a good look before ever entering a surf zone.